Friday, November 30, 2007

Oski Talk

I guess I am pretty surprised at the idiocy going on in Media world. Yes, the Bears took a big fall at the end of this year - but it is pretty simple to figure out why. It is not rocket science to see that Nate was hurt, played poorly, and the team lost focus and desire after they were number 1 in the country for three hours.

So now it is time to change everything about the program? Ratto suggesting that Tedford may be considering moving on? Wilner suggesting that Tedford is ready to leave now that his kid is done with High School? What a load of crap. Jeff Tedford will be the coach of the Bears for the next 15 years if he wants, even if we never get to a rose bowl or National Championship game. Years and years of winning 8,9 and 10 games per season will be just fine with the powers that be at Cal, and frankly, for fans like me who are used to winning four and five games per year.

The issue is, it probably is not fine for Tedford. He is the one who will decide what the issue is, what to do about it, and who is going to be doing it. And no one else.

I can see how dealing with these idiots may make him want to leave. But he would get that anywhere.

Lets face it - they are just pissed off that JT says nothing in the press conferences that is juicy enough to write salacious stories about. Wilner whined - 'he ALWAYS protects his players!" I think that is why the players like him. But I can guarantee you that it is not that way in practice. I am sure that the players have a healthy respect and fear for the coach.

That is what the is most impressive about JT. He cares about his team and what they are going through, and he will not throw them under the bus, like the media wants. Remember last year, when Ayoob was told he was not going to start, and JT though he would transfer for his senior year. He was so impressed with Joe that he stayed at Cal. He was impressed because JT keeps his QB through the year, and will not play games like that. No Matter What. So if you do not like that, then forget being a fan of the Bears. If you are OK with that, take if for what it is worth, and move on with your life. The idiots who think he was about to start Kevin Riley are the same idiots who think Kevin Riley would transfer. He will never leave because he knows once it is his turn the coach has his back TOTALLY. Riley will get the job, then Mansion, then whoever else is the annointed one. That is why Reed left, and Riley will stay.

That is probably a flaw but it is the way it is and it probably will not change. JT firmly believes that the QB is the most important position on the team - not just a physical leader but the primary leader from an emotional standpoint as well. And that leader must be protected as much as possible. Even to the degree that they let the guy struggle a bit and lose a game or two because that individual is playing poorly. There will be no in-season QB controversy in Tedford's mind.

That being said, there is no way in hell that the Bears lose tomorrow. They made a strong statement by benching guys who were not playing on defense. The offense at Washington actually played well. But the defense played poorly, just about as poorly as they ever have under JT.

In any event, after the season, there will be time for everyone to settle down, and Tedford to figure out who is left from the coaching changes that look like they may take place - like Gregory leaving. I have to say, for the people on the message boards, there is a lot of discussion about how Gregory is the scourge of the team, etc. But no where else do people bag on Cal's defense. In fact Stewart Mandel has been complimentary of Gregory and Cal's defense in the past, calling for him to move up to the head coaching ranks in prior seasons. I do not think that the Cal defense is that big of an issue. I mean, we held USC to 24, Oregon to 24. We laid an egg at Washington. But frankly, if Cal could have average 32 points a game, like we have every other year of Tedford's tenure on campus, we would have won all but one game - the Washington game. And a few of those scores are Defensive scores - like at UCLA, on the Pick Six, or the short fields after all of Nate's touchdowns.

So I think looking at it, if we lose Gregory, we will be in pain. Gregory has a good, complimentary defense that matches JT style. We just need to score at least 30 per game to win. And that really should not be a problem for our team.

I am not going to analyze Stanfurd. There is no point. They are terrible. They have lousy players. We should trounce them. If we don't it will be disappointing to say the least. But I think, sad as it is, this is a statement game for our players. And I think they will say something.

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

Good thoughts and good post.

Anonymous said...

"I do not think that the Cal defense is that big of an issue."
"We just need to score at least 30 per game to win."
"I am not going to analyze Stanfurd. There is no point. They are terrible. They have lousy players. We should trounce them."

Wrong.
Wrong.
And - surprise - wrong again.

Let me guess. You think things are going swimmingly in Iraq, too?

Oski88 said...

There is not point to analyze stanfurd. They are terrible. They are horrible.

The defense is not the problem.

The problem is an offense that scores 13 points against the worst defense in the Pac 10 and one of the worst in the country. The biggest mystery in college football is how Cal became the team that scored once point for every 9 yards of offense to one point for every 27 yards of offense.

And, yes, idiot - we would have won if we had scored 30.

Why don't you try to udnerstand what people are saying before you pop off.

Anonymous said...

"Even to the degree that they let the guy struggle a bit and lose a game or two because that individual is playing poorly."

How about losing six? Including the Big Game to a horrible Stanford team!!!

Having your QB's back is one thing. Making changes for the good of a team is another. Frank Beamer benched Sean Glennon this year after getting trounced by LSU. That's LSU, #2 team in the nation!!!! He got another chance when the guy that replaced him got hurt. And he just led VaTech to the ACC championship.

When is enough, enough? I think it's now. Nate should not be the starter next year. He can earn his spot back, but let's see what happens with Riley. He led us down the field on a potential game winning drive in his 1st game!!! Tedford was the one that blew it not reminding him what to do. Then he benches Riley for Nate who in his words is about "65%." What the f*(^ is that? If you didn't play Desean against Stanford, why do you start a Longshore that is 65%? He's not even that good at 100%.

I admire your respect for JT and what he's done for CAL. But let's admit this season for what it is- JT's Big Screw-Up. I hope he can right the ship and get us back to respectability. Heck, I'll even settle for the Holiday Bowl again!!!

Oski88 said...

I agree that Riley should have started against UCLA. I even wrote that at the time.

That being said, look around college football this year. Teams who lost - meaning the teams in the top 5 that totally plummeted - lost their QB to injury. Back-ups just do not work in big college football - at least, not if you are going to really try to get to the top.

Yes, this season was mismanaged. I think it was fear of failing like the Bears did last year. If you remember JTs comments after last year, he said that it was the most unsatisfying season he has ever coached. I think that feeling has probably changed now, but lets face it - he wanted it as much as anyone else. He wanted to reach for the gold, and he refused to settle for less by going to his backup. That was a mistake, and I am sure that next year, there will be a strong battle for first place QB. But for JT, benching Nate earlier was tantamount to saying that we were not going to compete for National Prominence. And JTs feel was confirmed when Riley screwed up. Nate would not have made that mistake. In fact, Nate played well at Oregon and brought the team back in the 4th quarter to win, and held off the Ducks as best he could on a bum ankle.

So Tedford puts him in at UCLA and we lose on a INT late in the game. And that was the season. It is not hard to figure out what happened.

Look at Steve Spurrier. South Carolina was #6 in the country. They went 6-6, losing their last 5. Teans that have been #2 in the country have gone 10 - 18 since losing that #2 spot. It is a crazy season and Cal is not the worst of it. This is what happens when your QB gets hurt. The coach is left with a decisions which is not easy to make and which no matter what happens, it is easy to second guess. It is clear Tedford made the wrong decisions, but during the critical three or four games after the injury, it was not so clear.

Anonymous said...

"Nate played well at Oregon and brought the team back in the 4th quarter to win, and held off the Ducks as best he could on a bum ankle."

Nate was not called to make any significant plays after his injury. He was asked to manage the game and hand off to our backs. Believe it or not it was actually our defense that won that Oregon game. 2 picks of Dixon and Ezeff's forced fumble on the last play sealed the deal. Had Oregon tied the game, I believe the Bears would have lost that game as well.

"And JTs feel was confirmed when Riley screwed up. Nate would not have made that mistake."

I have always felt that some of the responsibility for that screw-up was Tedford's. Knowing Riley is the back-up, how is he not reminded of the clock and of the need to not get caught in bounds at the end of the game before he goes in for that last series. That is JT's job.

And mind you that if the great offensive guru Tedford manages to get CAL into the end zone on 1st and goal against OSU, we don't have this talk about Riley. Instead we talk about how well he managed the game in his 1st start.

Tedford started the screw-up with some poor play calling and not reminding his backup QB of what needed to be done. Instead of having Riley's back and giving him another shot, he panics and puts Nate in at 65% to "salvage our season and help us stay prominent in the national picture." Only to have Nate throw a horrible out on a gimpy leg after some more horrid play calling against UCLA.

That still doesn't explain his loyalty after losing again, and again, and again, .....and again. A backup may not work if you are trying to get to the top. But how about if you are just trying to stop the bleeding? To win one game? To win the Big Game? To try and make sure you stay in the national picture next year and are not starting a downward spiral that will take us out of it!!

Oski88 said...

Well, I think you are wrong.

First, the screw up is Riley's. that is clear. I knew he needed to throw it away before the play began. Everyone in the stands knew, including my 8 year old. Why not the QB? Does the coach have to tell him to wipe after he shits during the game as well? The guy is a big boy, and he has played football a long time. No need to defend him on that.

Second, I was scared to death when I knew Riley was starting. And, frankly at that point in the season, when it was clear that we lost that game, i thought it was clear that it was Riley's fault. We only scored 28 against Oregon State, when we were averaging 38 per game. What was the difference? Kevin Riley. He had a decent 4th quarter, but he screwed up that last drive. He also did not play well the first three quarters, only scoring 14 points before the 4th. We had 6 drives without a first down. We had an interception. That is not how Cal can win games. I was depressed going into the 4th quarter at that game, and I had no faith in Kevin Riley at that time to lead us to victory. So lets not get away from the fact that he had a chance and blew it. He had two good drives in the game. So did JaMarcus Russell yesterday, but I doubt that he is pro-bowl material yet.

That being said, Nate was not 100%, and Riley did have some flashed of brilliance, and mobility that Nate will never have. So I said at the time, if Nate is not totally healthy, then start Riley and bring Nate in Later. Well, we only scored 21 with Nate at the helm at UCLA, which was a disaster. But, frankly, we were in the position to win at the end, but for the pick-6. So we lose by 9. That was the key mistake to this season, but it is understandable by what has transpired beforehand.

Now, if you are JT, you are thinking you have a guy who leads the team to three 4th quarter scores at Oregon, or a guy who leads the team to two 4th quarter scores at home against Oregon State, and makes a bone-headed decision to lose the game at the end. The pick is clear when you are going on the road - Nate is starting to look better in practice, and you are going to Arizona State to play a very important game.

So you start him and he plays OK except for that sorry 4th quarter thing. Then, he wins an easy one with Washington State in the Bob Gregory Job Interview game, but by now the team has given up.

I bet we hear later that Riley is sniping on the bench - in fact I heard that he was telling folks before the season that he was a lock to start. I am sure that ticks Tedford off more than anything, and I am sure that there will be repercussions about that. I would not be surprised to see Brock Mansion as the second string next year, or the starter.

Frankly, each game and each decision was explainable and logical. But when you look at it from here, it looks stupid. For the simpletons on the bulletin Boards, it is like JT is saying Riley would start but he can not understand the plays. That is not the case at all. Riley would start if he were the better QB in JTs eyes. I mean, Tedford has relieved 2 QBs of duty in his tenure at Cal, so it is not like he won't do it (Ayoob and Roberson). I guess what people have an impossible time understanding is that he may not be a better QB. But time will tell.

Anonymous said...

I have to disagree with you on the Riley screw-up. He should have known that yes, but in the heat of battle do you leave that to chance? If you're the coach, coach dammit. Tell the kids what to do even if they're supposed to know. Remind them so they don't make a bonehead mistake. Cover your butt!!! Especially when you have a chance to be #1 and you have a Natl. Championship on the line!!

If JT told him (and maybe Tedford did and I am giving Riley too much leeway and not cutting JT enough slack), that still does not explain starting someone at 65%!! Unless of course you're saying that Tedford believes a 65% Longshore is better than a 100% Riley. I guess only Tedford knows.