Thursday, September 4, 2008

BCS Update

Just a few quick numbers...

The Bears are currently ranked 22 in the BCS standings, with the computer rankings averaging 17 and the two polls averaging 27.5, I use the AP poll as a substitute for the Harris Poll, since all the Harris people do is copy the AP. In any event, the voters are lagging the computers based on one weeks data. Sagarin has Cal at 10 in his ELO CHESS model, which is what they use for the BCS rankings (although 28 on his predictor Model, which I think is the most accurate).

Anyway, just 15 more to go...

i predict that we will be comfortably in the top 15 if we can win the next three games in the human and computer polls (not really going out on a limb there). Then, if we can take care of business against Arizona State and Arizona, we will be top 10. Oregon, UCLA, top 7. Then, SC. BOOM - number 3 (SC at 6, by the by). What will suck will be our last game loss, saving Ty Willingham's job, putting SC back into the NCG, and relegating us to the ROSE BOWL!!!

Anyhow, sounds good now.

GO BEARS!!

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