Thursday, October 16, 2008

BYU vs TCU

Great game for the Christians.

Kinda weird - the Christians against the mormons. State schools are better. No weird overtones of one religion being better than the other, how the other guys are more about family than the sport, etc. This is a football game, not a sermon.

Anyway, it is nice to see the higher ranked undefeated non-bcs team lose since that gives a better change for the other non-bes teams to not qualify.

I think that TCU and Utah will both lose. I am hopeful that Boise does, although I think Boise is the much better team out of the three of them. Ball State and Toledo have no chance.

Thinking about BYU - they have not really done anything this year to deserve the high praise they have. They beat two of the worst three pac 10 teams - UCLA and Washington. Whoop-dee-do. They should have lost to Washington, but the Pac 10 refs got in the way. In any event, it was a two point game.

My impression is that TCU has been the better team. At least they beat Stanfurd, which is a middle of the road pac 10 team on a down year for the Pac 10.

Boise beat Oregon well. They have beaten other teams on the road. I have a feeling they will win out. They are my bet to make the BCS for the non-BCS schools.

This weekend has a plethora of big change games for the rankings. First, Texas and Missouri. I take Missouri. Then, Oklahoma and Kansas. Wouldn't a Kansas win be nice. Vanderbilt and Georgia. Ohio State and Michigan State. So that is four guaranteed losses below Cal in the rankings. Then, there are the possible losses - Maryland at Wake. VA Tech and Boston College. Pittsburg and Navy. All of these are other good games where the victory is in doubt. I predict at least 6 top 25 teams lose this week. Hopefully, the Bears will not be one of them. I do not think they will be.

Here is what I think would be best for the Bears:

Cal over Arizona...Duh
Michigan State wins
Vanderbilt wins over Georgia (because they will definitely lose before the year is out)
Kansas over Oklahoma
Missouri over Texas
Maryland over Wake
Navy over Pitt
Boston College over Va Tech


Anything close to this scenario - the operative one being the first one - and the Bears are in the top 18.

Also, our computer numbers will increase as we accumulate more victories - just mathematically. We do not have as many victories as other teams, so we do not have as high a computer ranking. As we catch up with other teams as they take their Byes, we will increase our computer rankings.

So, we are in good shape. I am hoping for a weekend of carnage across the football landscape, with our football Bears the shining light of goodness.

GO BEARS!!

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