The rule is you need to be in the top 14 and have at least 9 wins to be eligible. Cal needs 4 more victories. Arizona State only needs two more.
The good news is, by the time we play those guys, they are still going to need two more, and so will we.
Here is the deal on the current ranking:
1) We are 12, based on an average 9/10 in the polls and a 15 in the computers. That computer ranking is deflated a bit because we only have played 6 games (the computers calculate win/loss ratio - we are at a 17% disadvantage because we have only played 6 games). When we play next week, we will move up assuming we win, as other teams take their bye weeks. I predict that we break into the top 10 next week, even if no one loses in front of us.
2) We will probably move up anyway based on the team in front of us. I do not think there is anyone ahead of us who will not lose another game, including LSU. Just for a moment, assume that I am correct, and that Cal wins out. We are in the NCG. Probably playing Oregon.
3) Oregon actually could win out, along with us, and go to the NCG. That would suck. Especially if Michigan wins out and they beat Ohio State.
4) If Cal wins out, we want SC to lose to Oregon and beat Arizona State, and Arizona State to beat Oregon. We would be the clear winner in the Pac 10, and I think go to the NCG. Also, all of those teams would be in the 8 -17 ranking categories.
5) We also want Tennessee to win out. Go Vols.
6) It would be nice if Colorado State would win a game. What is up with those guys!
7) Jerry Palm of CollegeBCS.com has Cal in the Fiesta Bowl, assuming that we lose one more, and SC goes to the Rose Bowl. That would be interesting.
Anyway, we have six weeks to go or so. Two spots a week is all I ask.
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